NHL

draft pick value curve

expected career value by draft slot

— forwards · — defensemen · — goalies — each line is the average career value actually produced by that draft slot (2000–2026 drafts), through the selected number of post-draft years. The early-horizon gap between lines is the development timeline: forwards arrive first, defensemen later, goalies last. Axis capped at pick 224; drafts 2000–04 ran 9 rounds.

2003 draft class288 picks

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000

#	Team	Player	Pos	GP	Pts	A	E	Score
1	PIT	Marc-Andre Fleury	G	1051	—	7.0	5.6	+0.10	fair
2	CAR	Eric Staal	F	1365	1063	11.5	9.9	+0.07	fair
3	FLA	Nathan Horton	F	627	421	7.2	8.5	-0.08	fair
4	CBJ	Nikolay Zherdev	F	421	261	4.4	7.9	-0.26	poor value
5	BUF	Thomas Vanek	F	1029	789	9.7	7.1	+0.15	fair
6	SJS	Milan Michalek	F	747	446	7.5	6.1	+0.09	fair
7	NSH	Ryan Suter	D	1526	696	9.3	5.1	+0.27	great value
8	ATL	Braydon Coburn	D	983	234	5.7	5.1	+0.05	fair
9	CGY	Dion Phaneuf	D	1048	494	10.0	5.1	+0.30	great value
10	MTL	Andrei Kostitsyn	F	398	222	4.0	4.0	-0.00	fair
11	PHI	Jeff Carter	F	1321	851	8.7	4.0	+0.34	great value
12	NYR	Hugh Jessiman	F	2	0	0.0	4.0	-0.80	BUST
13	LAK	Dustin Brown	F	1296	712	8.3	4.0	+0.33	great value
14	CHI	Brent Seabrook	D	1114	464	8.8	1.9	+0.59	STEAL
15	NYI	Robert Nilsson	F	252	118	2.3	4.0	-0.24	fair
16	SJS	Steve Bernier	F	637	230	5.3	4.0	+0.12	fair
17	NJD	Zach Parise	F	1254	889	9.0	3.9	+0.36	great value
18	WSH	Eric Fehr	F	652	221	4.1	3.8	+0.03	fair
19	ANA	Ryan Getzlaf	F	1157	1019	10.3	3.8	+0.43	great value
20	MIN	Brent Burns	F	1579	945	9.0	3.8	+0.37	great value
21	BOS	Mark Stuart	D	673	93	4.2	1.9	+0.32	great value
22	EDM	Marc-Antoine Pouliot	F	192	57	1.4	3.8	-0.38	poor value
23	VAN	Ryan Kesler	F	1001	573	7.8	3.8	+0.32	great value
24	PHI	Mike Richards	F	749	487	8.3	3.7	+0.36	great value
25	FLA	Anthony Stewart	F	262	71	1.9	3.6	-0.25	fair
26	LAK	Brian Boyle	F	871	252	3.6	3.4	+0.02	fair
27	LAK	Jeff Tambellini	F	242	63	1.7	3.3	-0.26	poor value
28	ANA	Corey Perry	F	1464	972	9.6	3.2	+0.46	great value
29	OTT	Patrick Eaves	F	633	242	4.1	2.9	+0.14	fair
30	STL	Shawn Belle	D	20	1	0.1	1.9	-0.59	BUST
31	CAR	Danny Richmond	D	49	3	0.3	1.9	-0.51	BUST
32	PIT	Ryan Stone	F	35	7	0.2	2.2	-0.57	BUST
33	DAL	Loui Eriksson	F	1050	613	7.6	2.0	+0.53	STEAL
34	TBL	Mike Egener	D	0	0	0.0	1.8	-0.65	BUST
35	NSH	Konstantin Glazachev	F	0	0	0.0	1.6	-0.61	BUST
36	DAL	Vojtech Polak	F	5	0	0.0	1.5	-0.59	BUST
37	NSH	Kevin Klein	D	627	154	4.4	1.6	+0.40	great value
38	FLA	Kamil Kreps	F	232	60	1.7	1.5	+0.04	fair
39	CGY	Tim Ramholt	D	1	0	0.0	1.6	-0.61	BUST
40	MTL	Cory Urquhart	F	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
41	TBL	Matt Smaby	D	122	6	0.7	1.5	-0.27	poor value
42	NJD	Petr Vrana	F	16	1	0.1	1.5	-0.55	BUST
43	SJS	Josh Hennessy	F	23	1	0.1	1.5	-0.53	BUST
44	LAK	Konstantin Pushkarev	F	17	5	0.1	1.5	-0.53	BUST
45	BOS	Patrice Bergeron	F	1294	1040	9.1	1.5	+0.65	STEAL
46	CBJ	Dan Fritsche	F	256	76	1.9	1.5	+0.09	fair
47	SJS	Matt Carle	D	730	283	7.6	1.5	+0.61	STEAL
48	NYI	Dimitri Chernykh	F	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
49	NSH	Shea Weber	D	1038	589	9.6	1.5	+0.67	STEAL
50	NYR	Ivan Baranka	D	1	1	0.0	1.5	-0.59	BUST
51	EDM	Colin McDonald	F	148	46	1.4	1.5	-0.04	fair
52	CHI	Corey Crawford	G	488	—	3.6	1.0	+0.47	great value
53	NYI	Evgeni Tunik	F	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
54	DAL	B.J. Crombeen	F	445	80	3.1	1.5	+0.28	great value
55	FLA	Stefan Meyer	F	20	2	0.1	1.5	-0.53	BUST
56	MIN	Patrick O'Sullivan	F	334	161	3.1	1.5	+0.28	great value
57	TOR	John Doherty	D	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
58	NYI	Jeremy Colliton	F	57	6	0.3	1.5	-0.42	poor value
59	CHI	Michal Barinka	D	34	2	0.2	1.5	-0.48	poor value
60	VAN	Marc-Andre Bernier	F	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
61	MTL	Maxim Lapierre	F	614	139	4.5	1.5	+0.42	great value
62	STL	David Backes	F	965	561	7.4	1.5	+0.59	STEAL
63	COL	David Liffiton	D	7	1	0.0	1.4	-0.55	BUST
64	DET	Jimmy Howard	G	543	—	4.3	1.0	+0.53	STEAL
65	BUF	Branislav Fabry	F	0	0	0.0	1.5	-0.60	BUST
67	OTT	Igor Mirnov	F	0	0	0.0	1.4	-0.59	BUST
68	EDM	Jean-Francois Jacques	F	166	17	1.0	1.4	-0.13	fair
69	PHI	Colin Fraser	F	359	58	2.4	1.4	+0.22	fair
70	PIT	Jonathan Filewich	F	5	0	0.0	1.3	-0.56	BUST
71	CBJ	Dmitri Kosmachev	D	0	0	0.0	1.1	-0.52	BUST
72	EDM	Mishail Joukov	F	0	0	0.0	1.3	-0.56	BUST
73	PIT	Daniel Carcillo	F	429	100	3.1	1.2	+0.35	great value
74	BUF	Clarke MacArthur	F	552	304	5.8	1.2	+0.57	STEAL
75	NYR	Ken Roche	F	0	0	0.0	1.2	-0.54	BUST
76	NSH	Richard Stehlik	D	0	0	0.0	1.0	-0.50	poor value
77	PHX	Tyler Redenbach	F	0	0	0.0	1.1	-0.53	BUST
78	MIN	Danny Irmen	F	2	0	0.0	1.1	-0.52	BUST
79	MTL	Ryan O'Byrne	D	308	39	2.3	1.0	+0.31	great value
80	PHX	Dimitri Pestunov	F	0	0	0.0	1.1	-0.52	BUST
81	PHI	Stefan Ruzicka	F	55	17	0.4	1.1	-0.26	poor value
82	LAK	Ryan Munce	G	0	—	0.0	1.0	-0.50	poor value
83	WSH	Stephen Werner	F	0	0	0.0	1.0	-0.50	BUST
84	STL	Konstantin Barulin	G	0	—	0.0	1.0	-0.50	poor value
85	PHI	Alexandre Picard	D	253	69	2.2	0.9	+0.32	great value
86	ANA	Shane Hynes	F	0	0	0.0	1.0	-0.49	poor value
87	PHI	Ryan Potulny	F	126	49	1.1	0.9	+0.04	fair
88	STL	Zack Fitzgerald	D	1	0	0.0	0.9	-0.46	poor value
89	NSH	Paul Brown	F	0	0	0.0	0.9	-0.47	poor value
90	ANA	Juha Alen	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.46	poor value
91	TOR	Martin Sagat	F	0	0	0.0	0.9	-0.46	poor value
92	NSH	Alexander Sulzer	D	131	22	1.1	0.8	+0.08	fair
93	NJD	Ivan Khomutov	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.46	poor value
94	EDM	Zack Stortini	F	257	41	1.6	0.8	+0.22	fair
95	PHI	Rick Kozak	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
96	TBL	Jonathan Boutin	G	0	—	0.0	0.9	-0.47	poor value
97	CGY	Ryan Donally	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
98	NSH	Grigory Shafigulin	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
99	DAL	Matt Nickerson	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
100	OTT	Philippe Seydoux	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
101	STL	Konstantin Zakharov	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.44	poor value
102	CAR	Aaron Dawson	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
103	CBJ	Kevin Jarman	F	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.44	poor value
104	CBJ	Philippe Dupuis	F	116	18	0.7	0.8	-0.02	fair
105	FLA	Martin Lojek	D	5	1	0.0	0.8	-0.42	poor value
106	BUF	Jan Hejda	D	627	135	5.3	0.8	+0.63	STEAL
107	BOS	Byron Bitz	F	97	22	0.7	0.8	-0.03	fair
108	PHI	Kevin Romy	F	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.43	poor value
109	WSH	Andreas Valdix	F	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.43	poor value
110	ATL	James Sharrow	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.45	poor value
111	VAN	Brandon Nolan	F	6	1	0.0	0.7	-0.39	poor value
112	CGY	Jamie Tardif	F	2	0	0.0	0.7	-0.41	poor value
113	MTL	Corey Locke	F	9	1	0.1	0.7	-0.38	poor value
114	BUF	Denis Ezhov	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.44	poor value
115	PHX	Liam Lindstrom	F	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.41	poor value
116	ATL	Guillaume Desbiens	F	23	0	0.1	0.7	-0.33	poor value
117	NSH	Teemu Lassila	G	0	—	0.0	0.5	-0.32	poor value
118	BOS	Frank Rediker	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.43	poor value
119	ANA	Nathan Saunders	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.43	poor value
120	NYI	Stefan Blaho	F	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.40	poor value
121	PIT	Paul Bissonnette	D	0	0	0.0	0.8	-0.43	poor value
122	NYR	Corey Potter	D	130	32	1.3	0.7	+0.18	fair
123	MTL	Danny Stewart	F	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.39	poor value
124	FLA	James Pemberton	D	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.42	poor value
125	TOR	Konstantin Volkov	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.39	poor value
126	CAR	Kevin Nastiuk	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.24	fair
127	STL	Alexandre Bolduc	F	65	5	0.4	0.6	-0.11	fair
128	VAN	Ty Morris	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.38	poor value
129	BOS	Patrik Valcak	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.38	poor value
130	CAR	Matej Trojovsky	D	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.41	poor value
131	COL	David Svagrovsky	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.38	poor value
132	DET	Kyle Quincey	D	586	158	4.2	0.7	+0.60	STEAL
133	NSH	Rustam Sidikov	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
134	DAL	Alexander Naurov	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.37	poor value
135	OTT	Mattias Karlsson	D	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.40	poor value
136	ATL	Michael Vannelli	D	0	0	0.0	0.7	-0.40	poor value
137	CAR	Tyson Strachan	D	186	20	1.4	0.7	+0.23	fair
138	CBJ	Arsi Piispanen	F	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.36	poor value
139	SJS	Patrick Ehelechner	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
140	PHI	David Tremblay	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
141	FLA	Dan Travis	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.35	poor value
142	OTT	Tim Cook	D	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.39	poor value
143	CGY	Greg Moore	F	10	0	0.0	0.5	-0.31	poor value
144	DAL	Eero Kilpelainen	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
145	ATL	Brett Sterling	F	30	9	0.2	0.5	-0.17	fair
146	COL	Mark McCutcheon	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.34	poor value
147	EDM	Kalle Olsson	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.34	poor value
148	STL	Lee Stempniak	F	911	469	7.2	0.5	+0.77	STEAL
149	NYR	Nigel Dawes	F	212	84	1.8	0.5	+0.39	great value
150	BUF	Thomas Morrow	D	0	0	0.0	0.6	-0.37	poor value
151	CHI	Lasse Kukkonen	D	159	22	1.1	0.6	+0.19	fair
152	LAK	Brady Murray	F	4	1	0.0	0.5	-0.31	poor value
153	BOS	Mike Brown	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
154	EDM	David Rohlfs	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
155	WSH	Josh Robertson	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
156	CHI	Alexei Ivanov	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
157	MIN	Marcin Kolusz	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
158	TOR	John Mitchell	F	548	177	3.7	0.5	+0.62	STEAL
159	STL	Chris Beckford-Tseu	G	1	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
160	VAN	Nicklas Danielsson	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
161	PIT	Evgeni Isakov	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
162	FLA	Martin Tuma	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.35	poor value
163	COL	Brad Richardson	F	869	254	3.9	0.5	+0.63	STEAL
164	DET	Ryan Oulahen	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
165	DAL	Gino Guyer	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
166	OTT	Sergei Gimayev	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.34	poor value
167	NJD	Zach Tarkir	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.34	poor value
168	CBJ	Marc Methot	D	624	123	3.8	0.5	+0.62	STEAL
169	PIT	Lukas Bolf	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.34	poor value
170	DET	Andreas Sundin	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
171	FLA	Denis Stasyuk	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
172	BUF	Pavel Voroshnin	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
173	CGY	Tyler Johnson	F	747	433	2.2	0.5	+0.46	great value
174	LAK	Esa Pirnes	F	57	11	0.4	0.5	-0.06	fair
175	ATL	Mike Hamilton	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
176	NYR	Ivan Dornic	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
177	MTL	Christopher Heino-Lindberg	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
178	PHX	Ryan Gibbons	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
179	NYR	Philippe Furrer	D	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.32	poor value
180	NYR	Chris Holt	G	2	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
181	CHI	Johan Andersson	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
182	NYI	Bruno Gervais	D	418	87	3.5	0.5	+0.62	STEAL
183	BOS	Nate Thompson	F	844	164	3.5	0.5	+0.60	STEAL
184	EDM	Dragan Umicevic	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
185	DAL	Francis Wathier	F	10	0	0.1	0.5	-0.29	poor value
186	ANA	Drew Miller	F	571	122	3.6	0.5	+0.61	STEAL
187	MIN	Miroslav Kopriva	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
188	MTL	Mark Flood	D	39	8	0.3	0.4	-0.07	fair
189	STL	Jonathan Lehun	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
190	VAN	Chad Brownlee	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.30	poor value
191	PHI	Rejean Beauchemin	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
192	TBL	Doug O'Brien	D	5	0	0.0	0.4	-0.27	poor value
193	PHI	Ville Hostikka	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
194	DET	Stefan Blom	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
195	DAL	Drew Bagnall	D	2	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
196	DAL	Elias Granath	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
197	NJD	Jason Smith	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
198	CAR	Shay Stephenson	F	2	0	0.0	0.5	-0.32	poor value
199	PIT	Andy Chiodo	G	8	—	0.1	0.3	-0.17	fair
200	CBJ	Alexander Guskov	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
201	SJS	Jonathan Tremblay	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
202	BUF	Nathan Paetsch	D	167	42	1.4	0.4	+0.36	great value
203	ATL	Denis Loginov	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
204	COL	Linus Videll	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.33	poor value
205	SJS	Joe Pavelski	F	1332	1068	8.1	0.5	+0.79	STEAL
206	CGY	Thomas Bellemare	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
207	MIN	Grigory Misharin	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
208	PHX	Randall Gelech	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.32	poor value
209	NYR	Dylan Reese	D	78	17	0.6	0.4	+0.12	fair
210	NSH	Andrei Mukhachev	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
211	CHI	Mike Brodeur	G	7	—	0.0	0.3	-0.19	fair
212	NYI	Denis Rehak	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
213	NSH	Miroslav Hanuljak	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
214	EDM	Kyle Brodziak	F	917	296	5.4	0.5	+0.72	STEAL
215	EDM	Mathieu Roy	D	66	13	0.5	0.4	+0.05	fair
216	SJS	Kai Hospelt	F	0	0	0.0	0.5	-0.31	poor value
217	MTL	Oskari Korpikari	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
218	ANA	Dirk Southern	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.31	poor value
219	MIN	Adam Courchaine	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.31	poor value
220	TOR	Jeremy Williams	F	32	11	0.3	0.4	-0.11	fair
221	STL	Evgeny Skachkov	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.31	poor value
222	VAN	Francois-Pierre Guenette	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.30	poor value
224	TBL	Gerald Coleman	G	2	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
225	COL	Brett Hemingway	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.30	poor value
226	DET	Tomas Kollar	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.30	poor value
227	TBL	Jay Rosehill	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
229	PIT	Stephen Dixon	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
230	CAR	Jamie Hoffmann	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
231	LAK	Matt Zaba	G	1	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
232	PIT	Joe Jensen	F	6	1	0.0	0.4	-0.26	poor value
233	CBJ	Mathieu Gravel	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
234	FLA	Petr Kadlec	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
235	BUF	Jeff Weber	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
236	SJS	Alexander Hult	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
237	TOR	Shaun Landolt	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
238	NYI	Cody Blanshan	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
239	ATL	Toby Enstrom	D	719	308	7.0	0.4	+0.78	STEAL
240	CGY	Cam Cunning	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
241	MTL	Jimmy Bonneau	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
242	PHX	Eduard Lewandowski	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.28	poor value
243	NYR	Jan Marek	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.27	poor value
244	LAK	Mike Sullivan	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.27	poor value
245	CHI	Dustin Byfuglien	D	869	525	8.5	0.4	+0.82	STEAL
246	NYI	Igor Volkov	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.27	poor value
247	BOS	Benoit Mondou	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.27	poor value
248	EDM	Josef Hrabal	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
249	WSH	Andrew Joudrey	F	1	0	0.0	0.4	-0.26	poor value
250	ANA	Shane O'Brien	D	537	92	4.1	0.4	+0.67	STEAL
251	MIN	Mathieu Melanson	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.26	poor value
252	VAN	Sergei Topol	F	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.26	poor value
253	STL	Andrei Pervyshin	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
254	VAN	Nathan McIver	D	36	1	0.2	0.4	-0.14	fair
255	TBL	Raimonds Danilics	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
256	TBL	Brady Greco	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
257	COL	Darryl Yacboski	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
258	DET	Vladimir Kutny	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
259	DAL	Niko Vainio	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
260	OTT	Ossi Louhivaara	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
261	NJD	Joey Tenute	F	1	0	0.0	0.3	-0.25	poor value
262	CAR	Ryan Rorabeck	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
263	PIT	Matt Moulson	F	650	369	5.8	0.3	+0.76	STEAL
264	FLA	John Hecimovic	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
265	FLA	Tanner Glass	F	527	69	2.9	0.3	+0.60	STEAL
266	BUF	Louis Philippe Martin	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
267	SJS	Brian O'Hanley	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
268	NSH	Lauris Darzins	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
269	ATL	Rylan Kaip	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
270	CGY	Kevin Harvey	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
271	MTL	Jaroslav Halak	G	581	—	4.3	0.3	+0.71	STEAL
272	PHX	Sean Sullivan	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
273	TBL	Albert Vishnyakov	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
274	LAK	Martin Guerin	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
275	CHI	Michael Grenzy	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
276	SJS	Carter Lee	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
277	BOS	Kevin Regan	G	0	—	0.0	0.3	-0.23	fair
278	EDM	Troy Bodie	F	159	21	1.0	0.3	+0.27	great value
279	WSH	Mark Olafson	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
280	ANA	Ville Mantymaa	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
281	MIN	Jean-Michel Bolduc	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
282	CHI	Chris Porter	F	234	34	1.2	0.3	+0.35	great value
284	STL	Juha-Matti Tapio Aaltonen	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
285	VAN	Matthew Hansen	D	0	0	0.0	0.4	-0.29	poor value
286	TBL	Zbynek Hrdel	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
287	TBL	Nick Tarnasky	F	245	30	1.4	0.3	+0.39	great value
288	COL	David Jones	F	462	191	3.7	0.3	+0.66	STEAL
289	DET	Mikael Johansson	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
290	PHX	Loic Burkhalter	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value
291	OTT	Brian Elliott	G	543	—	3.4	0.3	+0.66	STEAL
292	NJD	Arseny Bondarev	F	0	0	0.0	0.3	-0.26	poor value

STEAL ≥ +0.50 · great value ≥ +0.25 · fair within ±0.25 · poor value ≤ −0.25 · BUST ≤ −0.50 — 0 means the pick produced exactly what its slot usually does; young picks are provisional ("thru yr N") and rescore each season

all-time steals (2000–2014 classes)

1	2004 · #262	Mark StreitD · MTL	+0.84
2	2003 · #245	Dustin ByfuglienD · CHI	+0.82
3	2007 · #129	Jamie BennF · DAL	+0.81
4	2012 · #130	Connor HellebuyckG · WPG	+0.81
5	2002 · #241	Dennis WidemanD · BUF	+0.80
6	2001 · #176	Marek ZidlickyD · NYR	+0.80
7	2000 · #118	Lubomir VisnovskyD · LAK	+0.79
8	2003 · #205	Joe PavelskiF · SJS	+0.79
9	2011 · #208	Ondrej PalatF · TBL	+0.79
10	2011 · #104	Johnny GaudreauF · CGY	+0.78
11	2003 · #239	Toby EnstromD · ATL	+0.78
12	2005 · #105	Keith YandleD · PHX	+0.78
13	2010 · #178	Mark StoneF · OTT	+0.78
14	2000 · #205	Henrik LundqvistG · NYR	+0.78
15	2010 · #147	Brendan GallagherF · MTL	+0.77
16	2003 · #148	Lee StempniakF · STL	+0.77
17	2005 · #230	Patric HornqvistF · NSH	+0.77
18	2008 · #156	Jared SpurgeonD · NYI	+0.77
19	2004 · #258	Pekka RinneG · NSH	+0.77
20	2013 · #206	MacKenzie WeegarD · FLA	+0.77
21	2005 · #216	Anton StralmanD · TOR	+0.76
22	2000 · #159	John-Michael LilesD · COL	+0.76
23	2010 · #131	John KlingbergD · DAL	+0.76
24	2003 · #263	Matt MoulsonF · PIT	+0.76
25	2008 · #186	Jason DemersD · SJS	+0.76

all-time busts (2000–2014 classes)

1	2000 · #7	Lars JonssonD · BOS	-0.82
2	2012 · #4	Griffin ReinhartD · NYI	-0.81
3	2009 · #8	Scott GlennieF · DAL	-0.80
4	2008 · #11	Kyle BeachF · CHI	-0.80
5	2002 · #15	Jesse NiinimakiF · EDM	-0.80
6	2000 · #15	Artem KriukovF · BUF	-0.80
7	2005 · #16	Alex BourretF · ATL	-0.80
8	2005 · #13	Marek ZagrapanF · BUF	-0.80
9	2002 · #9	Petr TaticekF · FLA	-0.80
10	2007 · #17	Alexei CherepanovF · NYR	-0.80
11	2003 · #12	Hugh JessimanF · NYR	-0.80
12	2000 · #17	Alexei MikhnovF · EDM	-0.79
13	2001 · #18	Jens KarlssonF · LAK	-0.79
14	2002 · #19	Jakub KoreisF · PHX	-0.79
15	2007 · #19	Logan MacmillanF · ANA	-0.79
16	2007 · #20	Angelo EspositoF · PIT	-0.79
17	2008 · #21	Anton GustafssonF · WSH	-0.79
18	2011 · #22	Tyler BiggsF · TOR	-0.79
19	2004 · #11	Lauri TukonenF · LAK	-0.79
20	2011 · #18	Mark McNeillF · CHI	-0.79
21	2004 · #24	Kris ChuckoF · CGY	-0.78
22	2007 · #25	Patrick WhiteF · VAN	-0.78
23	2013 · #22	Emile PoirierF · CGY	-0.77
24	2002 · #27	Mike MorrisF · SJS	-0.77
25	2009 · #27	Philippe ParadisF · CAR	-0.77